Thursday, 10 December 2009

SPANISH PROPERTY MARKET – PROPERTY IN SPAIN FOR THE BRITISH


One of the conundrums facing the Spanish property market is when Spanish property will again become financially appealing to British buyers - given the collapse of Sterling against the Euro which has affected both potential buyers and existing owners of Spanish property.

Obviously, the current strength of the Euro against Sterling has had dramatic consequences for anyone living in Spain and relying upon an income paid in Sterling. The difference between an exchange rate at 1.40 Euros to the £ and (say) 1.10 Euros to the £ is huge. In effect, the purchasing power of a UK pension in Spain has dropped by some 30% over the past couple of years. This has unexpectedly ruined the financial planning of many Britons and made, for some people, life in Spain too expensive to sustain.

Indeed, many ex-patriot Britons have had to place their properties in Spain for sale so that they can return to the UK. The danger of this is that many estates in Spain with a high density of British property owners have, as a direct consequence, a disproportionate number of properties for sale.

Of course, the more properties in Spain there are for sale in a given area the harder it is to sell (the laws of supply and demand) with any seller having to rely upon a severe price reduction to differenciate his property from his competitors. This is never more true than when an estate comprises more or less identical properties - which is often the case on ‘new’ urbanisations. To make matters worse, some estates in Spain are primarily ‘British’ and therefore unlikely to appeal greatly to other nationalities. This means that any likely buyers of Spanish properties on ‘British’ estates will largely remain fellow Britons – themselves hampered by the weakened purchasing power of Sterling.

Of course, many Britons bought their properties when Sterling was at 1.40 (or more) to the Euro. This means, very crudely, that they can drop the sale price of their Spanish property by 30% - and still get their money back (at current exchange rates).

The conundrum is obvious.

Property in Spain has fallen by (at least) 30% since the end of the boom in 2007. So, if you, as a Briton, reduce your Spanish property price by 30% (from its 2007 level) then your property in Spain is still not cheap - to a British buyer! In fact, the 30% drop in an ‘in-coming’ Briton’s purchasing power means that your Spanish property price has, in effect, not fallen at all. So, ironically, any UK buyer is going to be looking for a further price discount before he even begins to think he is getting anything like a real bargain.

In fact, ironically, Britons in Spain are not helping the vortex of falling Spanish property prices. At the moment, many are able to drop their prices by 30% with impunity – and then to drop them by a further 10% - 20% if they are prepared to take a (reasonably acceptable!) loss to extricate themselves from Spain. This is more than most Spanish or Euro sellers are prepared to countenance but acts to further destabalise the Spanish property market.

Certainly, it is no secret that the stabalisation of a property market is utterly dependent upon ‘distress’ sales being rare. Until that is the case, any property market will continue to be volatile with the emphasis being on continued falling prices rather than any marked ‘levelling off’.

In short, are prices stabalising on British owned property in Spain?

Sadly, I rather doubt it – although this could change should Sterling suddenly find sustained strength against the Euro. This would put money back into the pockets of those Britons in Spain drawing their incomes in Sterling and thereby make them less desperate to sell. It would also, as a side effect, force prices up as the Euro weakened and reduced the ability of British sellers to drop their sale prices ‘artifically’ on the basis of having bought when Sterling was strong.

In the meantime, can Spanish property offer value for money to in-coming Britons carrying Sterling worth some 30% less than a couple of years ago? The answer is a cautious yes. The unfortunate number of true distress sales (particularly on ‘British’ estates in Spain) provide some real opportunities to buy Spanish properties at bargain prices unthinkable a few years ago – even given Sterling’s depreciation against the Euro.1

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